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nearshore marine forecast
national weather service buffalo ny
403 pm edt wed mar 11 2026

for waters within five nautical miles of shore

waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.


lez040-041-120300-
buffalo to ripley along lake erie-
403 pm edt wed mar 11 2026

...small craft advisory in effect through thursday afternoon...
...gale watch in effect from friday afternoon through late friday
night...

.tonight...southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. rain
showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms early, then rain
showers late this evening. a chance of rain showers after
midnight. the lake is mostly ice covered.
.thursday...west winds 15 to 20 knots. mostly cloudy in the
morning, then becoming partly sunny. 
.thursday night...west winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south
10 knots or less. partly cloudy. 
.friday...south winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest and
increasing to 35 knot gales in the afternoon. rain and snow
likely in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon. 
.friday night...west gales to 40 knots diminishing to 30 knots. a
chance of rain in the evening. 
.saturday...west winds 15 to 25 knots becoming east and
diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. a chance of snow showers saturday
night. 
.sunday...east winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south and increasing
to 35 knot gales. snow and rain showers likely during the day,
then rain showers with a chance of snow showers sunday night. 
.monday...west gales to 35 knots diminishing to 15 to 25 knots.
rain showers with snow showers likely during the day, then a
chance of snow showers monday night. 

winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

waves omitted due to the lake being mostly ice covered.

$$

fzus51 kbuf 112003
nshbuf
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nearshore marine forecast
national weather service buffalo ny
403 pm edt wed mar 11 2026

for waters within five nautical miles of shore

waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.


loz043-044-120300-
hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario
including irondequoit bay-
403 pm edt wed mar 11 2026

...gale warning in effect from 11 pm edt this evening through
thursday morning...

.tonight...southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west and
increasing to 35 knot gales after midnight. rain showers through
the early overnight, then a chance of rain and snow showers late.
waves 2 to 4 feet building to 11 to 15 feet. waves occasionally
around 19 feet. 
.thursday...west winds to 30 knots. a chance of snow showers in
the morning. waves 10 to 15 feet subsiding to 7 to 11 feet. waves
occasionally around 19 feet. 
.thursday night...west winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest
and diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. partly to mostly cloudy. waves
6 to 10 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. waves occasionally around
13 feet. 
.friday...south winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest and
increasing to 15 to 25 knots. snow and rain likely. waves 1 to
3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. waves occasionally around 6 feet.
.friday night...southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west and
increasing to 40 knot gales overnight. rain likely with a chance
of snow showers in the evening, then a chance of snow showers
overnight. waves 3 to 6 feet building to 13 to 17 feet. waves
occasionally around 22 feet. 
.saturday...west gales to 35 knots becoming north and diminishing
to 5 to 10 knots. mostly cloudy. waves 13 to 17 feet subsiding to
2 to 4 feet. waves occasionally around 22 feet. 
.sunday...east winds 15 to 25 knots becoming south and increasing
to 35 knot gales. snow showers likely during the day, then rain
and snow showers likely sunday night. waves 1 to 3 feet building
to 4 to 7 feet. waves occasionally around 9 feet. 
.monday...south gales to 35 knots becoming west. rain showers
with snow showers likely during the day, then a chance of snow
and rain showers monday night. waves 3 to 6 feet building to
12 to 17 feet. waves occasionally around 22 feet. 

the water temperature off rochester is 38 degrees.

$$

fzus51 kbuf 112003
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nearshore marine forecast
national weather service buffalo ny
403 pm edt wed mar 11 2026

for waters within five nautical miles of shore

waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.


loz045-120300-
mexico bay to the saint lawrence river along lake ontario-
403 pm edt wed mar 11 2026

...gale warning in effect from 11 pm edt this evening through
thursday morning...

.tonight...south winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west and
increasing to 35 knot gales after midnight. rain showers with a
chance of thunderstorms early, then rain showers. a chance of
rain and snow showers late. waves in ice free areas 3 to 6 feet
building to 10 to 14 feet. waves in ice free areas occasionally
around 18 feet. 
.thursday...west winds to 30 knots diminishing to 15 to 25 knots.
a chance of snow showers in the morning. waves 10 to 14 feet
subsiding to 6 to 10 feet. waves occasionally around 18 feet. 
.thursday night...northwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west
and diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. partly to mostly cloudy. waves
5 to 9 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. waves occasionally around
11 feet. 
.friday...south winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
25 knots. snow likely in the morning, then rain and snow in the
afternoon. waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 6 feet. waves
occasionally around 7 feet. 
.friday night...southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west and
increasing to 40 knot gales overnight. rain with snow showers
likely in the evening, then snow showers likely overnight. waves
5 to 8 feet building to 11 to 16 feet. waves occasionally around
20 feet. 
.saturday...west gales to 35 knots becoming north and diminishing
to 5 to 10 knots. a chance of snow showers during the day. waves
12 to 16 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. waves occasionally around
20 feet. 
.sunday...east winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast and
increasing to 40 knot gales. snow and rain showers likely. waves
1 to 3 feet building to 6 to 9 feet. waves occasionally around
11 feet. 
.monday...south gales to 40 knots becoming west to 35 knots. rain
showers with snow showers likely. waves 6 to 9 feet building to
10 to 15 feet. waves occasionally around 19 feet. 

winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

wave heights are for ice free areas.

$$

fzus51 kbuf 112003
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nearshore marine forecast
national weather service buffalo ny
403 pm edt wed mar 11 2026

for waters within five nautical miles of shore

waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.


lez020-120300-
upper niagara river and buffalo harbor-
403 pm edt wed mar 11 2026

...small craft advisory in effect through thursday afternoon...

.tonight...southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. a chance
of rain showers early, then rain showers late this evening. a
chance of rain showers after midnight. 
.thursday...west winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to
15 knots. mostly cloudy. 
.thursday night...west winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south
10 knots or less. partly cloudy. 
.friday...south winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest and
increasing to 30 knots in the afternoon. rain and snow likely. 
.friday night...west winds to 30 knots diminishing to 15 to
20 knots. a chance of rain in the evening. 
.saturday...west winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east and
diminishing to less than 10 knots. a chance of snow showers
saturday night. 
.sunday...east winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to 20 knots.
snow and rain showers during the day, then rain showers with a
chance of snow showers sunday night. 
.monday...southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west and
diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. rain showers with snow showers
likely during the day, then a chance of snow showers monday
night. 

the water temperature off buffalo is 33 degrees.

$$

fzus51 kbuf 112003
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nearshore marine forecast
national weather service buffalo ny
403 pm edt wed mar 11 2026

for waters within five nautical miles of shore

waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.


loz042-120300-
niagara river to hamlin beach along lake ontario-
403 pm edt wed mar 11 2026

...gale warning in effect from 11 pm edt this evening through
thursday morning...

.tonight...southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west and
increasing to 35 knot gales after midnight. a chance of rain
showers early, then rain showers late this evening. a chance of
rain showers after midnight. waves 3 to 5 feet building to 9 to
13 feet. waves occasionally around 16 feet. 
.thursday...west winds to 30 knots. mostly cloudy. waves 7 to
11 feet subsiding to 5 to 8 feet. waves occasionally around
14 feet. 
.thursday night...west winds 15 to 25 knots becoming south and
diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. partly cloudy. waves 4 to 7 feet
subsiding to 2 feet or less. waves occasionally around 9 feet. 
.friday...southeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest and
increasing to 30 knots. rain and snow. waves 1 to 3 feet building
to 3 to 6 feet. waves occasionally around 7 feet. 
.friday night...southwest winds to 30 knots becoming west and
increasing to 35 knot gales overnight. rain likely in the
evening. waves 7 to 10 feet building to 9 to 13 feet. waves
occasionally around 16 feet. 
.saturday...west winds to 30 knots becoming northeast and
diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. mostly cloudy. waves 9 to 12 feet
subsiding to 1 to 2 feet. waves occasionally around 15 feet. 
.sunday...east winds 15 to 25 knots becoming south and increasing
to 35 knot gales. rain and snow showers. waves 2 to 4 feet
building to 3 to 6 feet. waves occasionally around 7 feet. 
.monday...southwest gales to 35 knots becoming west. rain showers
with snow showers likely during the day, then a chance of snow
showers monday night. waves 6 to 9 feet building to 10 to
14 feet. waves occasionally around 18 feet. 

$$

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nearshore marine forecast
national weather service buffalo ny
1004 am edt wed mar 11 2026

for waters within five nautical miles of shore

waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.


loz044-112100-
sodus bay to mexico bay along lake ontario-
1004 am edt wed mar 11 2026

...gale warning in effect from this evening through thursday
morning...

.rest of today...south winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
20 knots. rain and scattered thunderstorms. waves 1 to 3 feet. 
.tonight...south winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west and
increasing to 35 knot gales overnight. rain showers in the
evening, then rain showers likely with a chance of snow showers
overnight. waves 1 to 3 feet building to 13 to 17 feet. waves
occasionally around 22 feet. 
.thursday...west gales to 35 knots diminishing to 30 knots.
mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. waves
13 to 17 feet subsiding to 10 to 15 feet. waves occasionally
around 22 feet. 
.thursday night...west winds to 30 knots diminishing to 10 to
15 knots overnight. partly to mostly cloudy. waves 9 to 12 feet
subsiding to 3 to 5 feet. waves occasionally around 15 feet. 
.friday...south winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west and increasing
to 40 knot gales. rain with snow likely during the day, then snow
showers likely with rain friday night. waves 1 to 3 feet building
to 14 to 18 feet. waves occasionally around 23 feet. 
.saturday...west gales to 40 knots becoming north and diminishing
to 5 to 10 knots. a chance of snow showers. waves 14 to 18 feet
subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. waves occasionally around 23 feet. 
.sunday...east winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south and increasing
to 40 knot gales. snow and rain showers likely. waves 1 to 2 feet
building to 5 to 8 feet. waves occasionally around 10 feet. 

winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

fzus51 kbuf 111404
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nearshore marine forecast
national weather service buffalo ny
1004 am edt wed mar 11 2026

for waters within five nautical miles of shore

waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.


loz043-112100-
hamlin beach to sodus bay along lake ontario
including irondequoit bay-
1004 am edt wed mar 11 2026

...small craft advisory in effect until 11 am edt this morning...
...gale warning in effect from this evening through thursday
morning...

.rest of today...south winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
20 knots. a chance of showers late this morning, then rain and
scattered thunderstorms this afternoon. waves 3 to 5 feet
subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. waves occasionally around 6 feet. 
.tonight...southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west and
increasing to 35 knot gales overnight. rain showers likely in the
evening, then a chance of rain showers overnight. waves 1 to
3 feet building to 10 to 14 feet. waves occasionally around
18 feet. 
.thursday...west gales to 35 knots diminishing to 30 knots.
mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. waves
10 to 14 feet subsiding to 8 to 11 feet. waves occasionally
around 18 feet. 
.thursday night...west winds to 30 knots becoming southwest and
diminishing to 10 to 15 knots overnight. partly cloudy. waves
6 to 10 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. waves occasionally around
13 feet. 
.friday...south winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west and increasing
to 35 knot gales. rain and snow during the day, then a chance of
snow showers and rain likely friday night. waves 2 to 4 feet
building to 10 to 13 feet. waves occasionally around 16 feet. 
.saturday...west gales to 35 knots becoming northeast and
diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. a chance of snow showers. waves
9 to 13 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. waves occasionally around
16 feet. 
.sunday...east winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south and increasing
to 35 knot gales. rain showers with snow showers likely. waves
2 to 4 feet building to 5 to 9 feet. waves occasionally around
11 feet. 

winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

the water temperature off rochester is 38 degrees.

$$